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Published Research
Causes
and Consequencs of Civil Conflict. (25pg) |
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This paper presents an economic
analysis of civil conflicts focusing on four issues: economic
causes of civil conflict, economic cost and consequences of civil
conflict, the vicious cycle of civil conflict and methods of escaping
the cycle. The methods of estimating the costs of civil conflict
are exemplified with a case study of Sri Lanka
Though it is commonly assumed that ethno-linguistic
fractionalization is a leading cause behind civil conflict, we
find there may be more significant variables contributing to the
conflict. Namely: low levels of natural resources, high poverty
(low levels of GPD per capita), and lack of strong democratic
institutions. The analysis conducted by economists clearly showed
that strong institutions have the ability to decrease the probability
of incidence of war, for a given level of fractionalization in
a society. Additionally, high levels of fractionalization and
high levels of homogeneity are negatively related to the possibility
of civil conflict, while average levels of fractionalization increase
the chances of civil conflict. Furthermore, it is possible that
strong government institutions have the ability to stop the oppression
and any civil violence associated with it, effectively breaking
the cycle. |
Achieving
Economic Development by Bridging the Digital Divide. (22 pg) |
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Today, information and communication
technologies (ICT’s), including the Internet, have been
transforming the global economy and society. The advent of newer
technologies has also resulted in a widening global and national
digital divide. This paper presents and analyses the viability
of bridging the digital divide as a means of attaining higher
levels of development.
Underdeveloped
region and countries do not have access to ICT’s and Internet.
The underdevelopment in these regions is mainly due lack of proper
education, technology and political instability. The digital divide
can be bridged by infrastructure development, and proper IT education.
Bridging the divide would result in an increase in
technology diffusion, increase in
education, and increase in productivity and income. Thus eliminating
the divide will eliminate some of the reasons hindering economic
development and also create new avenues for growth. Therefore
it is possible to achieve development by bridging the digital
divide. Practically there has to be significant infrastructure
development and forward looking government policies aimed at bridging
the digital divide if development is to be achieved. Also it is
very unclear who should be responsible for bridging the divide.
What is clear is that if the divide is not bridged it will result
in an increasing disparity of living standards globally leading
sever human consequences.
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Sri
Lanka: An Economic Social and Agricultural Analysis. (28 pg) |
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This paper analyzes the demographic
transition of the Sri Lankan population, the current trends in
food consumption, economic growth in the recent years and discusses
land fragmentation and child malnutrition as issues of concern.
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Sri Lanka is a developing country with
20 million people and a rich history of over 2500 years. In comparison
with other developing countries, Sri Lankan has very high demographic
indicators with high literacy rates, low infant mortality rates
and good health indicators. Sri Lanka is nearing the end of its
demographic transition, the population growth rate has slowed
down and the CDR is increasing and will soon converge with the
CBR. Unfortunately the ever present 20 year old civil war has
held back the Sri Lankan economy which is growing slowly than
the economies of its neighboring countries.
Much of Sri Lanka’s traditional exports of tea, rubber and
coconuts have changed over the years. On the contrary, agriculture
in Sri Lanka has changed very little over the years in terms of
mechanization. One of the pioneer countries to make use of Green
Revolution varieties of seeds, yield growths in Sri Lanka have
started to slow down. Sri Lanka already uses a significant amount
of fertilizer and pesticides to improve yields and the lack of
extensification opportunities mean alternate means of improving
yields are necessary. Sri Lanka is currently facing a problem
of with land defragmentation, with smaller plots leading to a
decrease in productivity and yields.
Malnutrition has been a significant food security issue affecting
the country, especially among children where about one third of
all children are malnourished. Successful food distribution campaigns
by the government as well organizations like World Food Program
are ensuring that many children are getting at least one healthy
meal day. Sri Lanka is going through a rapid period of change,
much of its agricultural, social and economic policies are changing
and a possible peace dividend over the next few years means there
is much hope in Sri Lanka’s future.
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